Robert Reich's latest book is "THE SYSTEM: Who Rigged It, How To Fix It." He is Chancellor's Professor of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley and Senior Fellow at the Blum Center. He served as Secretary of Labor in the Clinton administration, for which Time Magazine named him one of the 10 most effective cabinet secretaries of the twentieth century. He has written 17 other books, including the best sellers "Aftershock,""The Work of Nations," "Beyond Outrage," and "The Common Good." He is a founding editor of the American Prospect magazine, founder of Inequality Media, a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and co-creator of the award-winning documentaries "Inequality For All," streamng on YouTube, and "Saving Capitalism," now streaming on Netflix.

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  • How to Avoid the Coming Recession


    Wednesday, December 5, 2007

    I was gratified to read in this morning’s Wall Street Journal that Martin Feldstein, of all people, has joined me in calling for a fiscal stimulus to avoid a coming recession. This won’t help with the larger, long-term problem (see my post from yesterday), but it’s an important short-term step.

    But how to have a fiscal stimulus without adding to the already-way-too-large national debt (now almost 70 percent larger than when Bush came to office)? Feldstein doesn’t say, but here’s the answer. All we need do is recognize one simple fact: Lower-income people spend a larger portion of whatever extra income they get than those with higher incomes (in economic jargon, lower-income people have a higher marginal propensity to consume). So every dollar of a tax cut aimed at lower-income Americans packs a bigger stimulative punch than a dollar of tax cut aimed at those with higher incomes. By the same logic, every dollar of a tax increase on higher-income people has a smaller detrimental effect on their purchases than would a dollar tax hike on lower-income people. Get it? The best way to stimulate the economy without adding to the national debt is to cut the taxes of lower-income Americans and pay for that tax cut by raising taxes on those with higher incomes. Presto – a simple formula for being both fiscally responsible and also fiscally stimulative. (That this is also a step toward a more equitable tax burden is an extra bonus.) It’s so obvious and logical I’m surprised Marty didn’t suggest it.

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